LH
Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Beat and raise quarter: Q4 revenue rose 27.8% year over year to $110.4M, Adjusted EBITDA rose 37.4% to $40.2M, and Adjusted EPS was $0.11; management simultaneously raised FY25 guidance across revenue, EBITDA, EPS, and net income .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, LOAR beat on revenue (Actual $110.4M vs $102.5M estimate*) and matched/slightly beat on Primary EPS ($0.11 vs $0.108*), while S&P “EBITDA” tracked near consensus; note definitional differences with company Adjusted EBITDA (company reported $40.2M) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Mix and transitory costs tempered margin upside: net income margin was 3.3% (refinancing costs and interest), and management cited defense mix, facility move and public-company infrastructure as margin diluters; however gross margin improved ~250 bps YoY and Adjusted EBITDA margin reached 36.4% .
- Positive FY25 setup and catalysts: guidance raised to revenue $480–$488M, Adjusted EBITDA $180–$184M, Adjusted EPS $0.70–$0.75; demand strong across end-markets, aftermarket bookings solid, and PMA pipeline/price initiatives in flight; pending LMB Fans & Motors acquisition expected to close in 3Q25 (not in guidance) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- Strong top-line and profitability momentum: Q4 revenue +27.8% YoY to $110.4M; Adjusted EBITDA +37.4% YoY to $40.2M with margin 36.4% (up from 33.8%) on pricing, productivity, and operating leverage .
- Defense strength and broad-based demand: Q4 defense sales nearly doubled YoY to $29.5M; commercial aftermarket and OEM both grew double-digits YoY; management: “challenge this year is keeping up with demand” .
- Raised FY25 outlook: revenue to $480–$488M (from $470–$480M Feb outlook), Adjusted EBITDA to $180–$184M (from $176–$180M), Adjusted EPS to $0.70–$0.75 (from $0.67–$0.72); CEO: “we are ahead of our plan on our value pricing and productivity initiatives” .
- What Went Wrong
- Mix and infrastructure costs diluted margins: management flagged defense mix, a facility relocation, and added public-company costs as headwinds; Q4 net income margin 3.3% despite strong EBITDA margin .
- “Other” end-market down YoY in Q4 (to $7.7M from $10.2M), partially offset by sequential uptick vs Q3; management remains focused on A&D mix over time .
- S&P “EBITDA” near consensus rather than a clear beat; definitional differences vs company Adjusted EBITDA can create headline ambiguity despite company’s stronger Adjusted EBITDA performance* . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Financial Results
Segment sales mix (Totals)
Consensus vs actuals (S&P Global; Primary EPS refers to S&P’s primary/adjusted EPS)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Notes: Company-reported Q4 Adjusted EBITDA was $40.178M vs S&P “EBITDA” actual $38.462M, reflecting definitional differences (company Adjusted EBITDA includes specific add-backs) .
Guidance Changes
Context: Initial FY2025 guide on Nov 13, 2024 was materially lower (Net Income $33–$37M; Diluted EPS $0.35–$0.40; Interest ~$60M) before the February and March upward revisions .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are ahead of our plan on our value pricing and productivity initiatives… the challenge we see this year is keeping up with demand.” — CEO Dirkson Charles .
- “Adjusted EBITDA margins remained strong at 36.4%… partially offset by a higher mix of defense sales and the continued build-out of our infrastructure.” — CFO Glenn D’Alessandro .
- “We are highly confident of achieving [~120 bps] margin improvement [in 2025].” — CEO Dirkson Charles .
- “Our aftermarket backlog looks really, really strong… we have conversations with customers every quarter updating the next 12 months.” — CEO Dirkson Charles .
- On tariffs: “We will pass along any increase in cost… there’s not going to be a lot of a hit for us this year given the extra inventory… and 99% of the cases [we have] a second source in the U.S.” — CEO Dirkson Charles .
Q&A Highlights
- Aftermarket strength and visibility: Backlog solid with short lead times; demand the constraint; confidence embedded in guidance .
- 2025 margin drivers: Applied Avionics is accretive but not the sole driver; pricing > inflation and operating leverage support ~120 bps expansion; timing skewed to 2H25 .
- OEM cadence: Assumptions of YE Boeing ~30/month and Airbus ~50/month underpin cautious planning; variability by part/product .
- Tariffs and input costs: Limited 2025 impact expected due to inventory positioning; proprietary portfolio supports price pass-through; diversified sourcing .
- M&A: Pipeline active; target pace 1–2 deals/year; LMB Fans & Motors under French review, expected 3Q25 close, mostly Europe defense exposure .
Estimates Context
- Q4 2024: Revenue beat (Actual $110.4M vs $102.5M estimate*), Primary EPS slightly above (Actual $0.11 vs $0.108*). S&P “EBITDA” actual ~$38.5M vs ~$38.7M estimate*, while company-reported Adjusted EBITDA was $40.2M (higher due to add-backs) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Q3 2024: Revenue beat (Actual $103.5M vs $97.6M*), Primary EPS beat ($0.15 vs $0.130*), S&P “EBITDA” modestly below consensus (Actual ~$34.9M vs ~$35.6M*), again differing from company’s Adjusted EBITDA of $38.1M . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Q2 2024: Revenue beat (Actual $97.0M vs $91.7M*), Primary EPS beat ($0.13 vs $0.097*), S&P “EBITDA” below consensus (~$30.6M vs ~$33.0M*) vs company Adjusted EBITDA of $35.0M . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Implications: Street models likely lift FY25 revenue, Adjusted EBITDA and EPS to reflect March raise (and stronger demand/pipeline), while reconciling S&P “EBITDA” vs company Adjusted EBITDA definitions in target setting .
Key Drivers Behind Results
- Pricing, productivity and leverage: Margin progress driven by value-based pricing and operating leverage on higher volumes, partially offset by defense mix and infrastructure investments .
- End-market breadth: Commercial OEM and aftermarket both grew double-digits; defense surged as Loar gained share on new product launches; OEM ordering patterns mixed but improving net of customer bottlenecks .
- Non-GAAP adjustments: Q4 Adjusted EPS of $0.11 includes add-backs for refinancing costs ($4.8M), inventory step-up, transaction costs, stock-based comp, integration costs, and related tax effects .
Additional Relevant Press Releases (Q4 context)
- Put agreement to acquire LMB Fans & Motors for ~€365M + net debt; primarily European defense exposure; financing via incremental term facility and cash; close expected before end of 3Q25 (not in FY25 guide) .
- Preliminary Q4/FY24 results (Feb 21): ranges aligned closely with final 8-K; reaffirmed/upgraded initial FY25 guidance ahead of the March raise .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Beat-and-raise pattern intact; FY25 outlook moved higher across revenue, EBITDA, and EPS with demand broad-based and pricing/productivity tracking ahead of plan .
- Aftermarket and defense remain twin engines; defense growth is margin-dilutive near term, but pricing and leverage offset, keeping Adjusted EBITDA margins mid‑30s and expanding in FY25 .
- Street likely revises FY25 estimates upward to match raised guidance; pay attention to definition differences between S&P “EBITDA” and company Adjusted EBITDA in comp sheets* . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Watch catalysts: PMA certifications/adoption in late 2025/early 2026, further price resets/LTAs, and LMB acquisition close in 3Q25 (incremental European defense exposure) .
- Balance sheet improved in 2024 with debt reduction post-IPO; YE 2024 long-term debt $277.3M vs $528.6M YE 2023; interest expense guide down to ~$28M in FY25 supports EPS leverage .
- Risk checks: OEM cadence variability, defense mix on margins, and tariff/inflation pass-through execution; management indicates buffers via inventory, pricing power, and dual sourcing .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.